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PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases

Public Library of Science (PLoS)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases's content profile, based on 378 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.41% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Persistent morbidity and knowledge gaps in a near-elimination setting: A cross-sectional study of lymphatic filariasis in northern Ghana

Lareef, S.

2026-04-22 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351358 medRxiv
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BackgroundLymphatic filariasis remains a public health concern in many endemic regions, where chronic disease persists despite substantial reductions in transmission. In Ghana, more than two decades of mass drug administration have significantly reduced disease prevalence and transmission; however, chronic manifestations and gaps in community understanding continue to be reported in parts of the north. This study assessed infection status, chronic morbidity burden, and community knowledge in a rural setting in northern Ghana approaching elimination. Methodology/Principal FindingsA community-based cross-sectional study was conducted in Birifor, northern Ghana, from October 2024 to January 2025. A total of 261 residents aged ten years and above were selected using random sampling. Data collection included structured questionnaires, clinical examination for chronic disease, and night blood microscopy for the detection of infection. No microfilariae were detected (0/261; 0%). However, chronic lymphoedema was identified in five individuals (1.9%), all aged over 40 years. Awareness of the disease was high (95.8%), yet only 39.5% of participants demonstrated good community knowledge and perceptions and self-reported preventive practices. Misconceptions regarding transmission, particularly beliefs that the disease is hereditary or caused by spiritual factors, were common. Participation in mass drug administration was high (93.1%). Despite this, chronic disease imposed a notable socioeconomic burden: all affected individuals reported loss of income, and 60% reported additional household income loss due to caregiving. Conclusions/SignificanceThese findings suggest that transmission in the study area is likely very low, although residual infection cannot be excluded; however, chronic disease and gaps in community knowledge persist. Strengthening morbidity management, improving community education, and providing support for affected households are essential. Sustained surveillance and integrated approaches will be critical to prevent resurgence and support long-term elimination efforts. Author SummaryLymphatic filariasis, also known as elephantiasis, is a mosquito-borne disease that can cause long-term swelling of the legs, arms, or genitals. Global efforts have greatly reduced its occurrence, especially through repeated mass drug administration to afflicted communities. However, many people continue to live with chronic swelling caused by past infections, which can affect their ability to work and participate fully in daily life. In this study, we examined the current situation of lymphatic filariasis in a rural community in northern Ghana that has received many years of treatment. We tested people for active infection, assessed signs of chronic disease, and explored what community members know and believe about the disease. We found no evidence of active infection, suggesting that transmission is now very low. However, some individuals were still living with chronic swelling and reported loss of income, while households also experienced financial strain due to caregiving. Although most people had heard of the disease, many did not fully understand how it is transmitted. Our findings show that reducing transmission alone is not enough. Continued education, community support, and access to care are needed to address the long-term impact of the disease and support ongoing elimination efforts.

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Lymphatic Filariasis Transmission at Spot-Check Sites in Six Endemic Districts of Nepal After Two IDA Mass Drug Administration Rounds

Mahato, R. K.; Dahal, G.; Kandel, S.; Chaudhary, A.; Paudel, S. R.; Khaniya, R.; Shakya, P.; Devkota, B. P.; Sapkota, B. P.; Poudel, K. P.; Bajracharya, B.; Shrestha, D.; Jha, C. B.; Neupane, R.; Dhakal, K. B.; Bennani, K.

2026-04-23 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351459 medRxiv
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Background Nepal has set a goal to eliminate lymphatic filariasis (LF) by 2030. As of 2024, Nepal has stopped the mass drug administration (MDA) in 56 of the 64 endemic districts and completed two rounds of MDA in six districts with persistent LF ([&ge;]2% antigen prevalence) using the three-drug regimen of Ivermectin, Diethylcarbamazine, and Albendazole (IDA), exceeding 65% coverage. We subsequently conducted an Epidemiological Monitoring Survey (EMS) to assess the impact of the MDA in reduction of LF infection prevalence below the transmission threshold and examine the factors associated with it. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional EMS nine months after MDA in 12 evaluation units (EUs) across six districts, with two sites per EU. We recruited a total of 7,343 individuals aged [&ge;]20 years, sampled using multi-stage sampling, ensuring at least 300 blood samples collected per site. We collected data on demographics and MDA participation. We performed the LF antigen testing for all participants, followed by night blood microfilariae testing in antigen-positive individuals. Statistical analyses included non-parametric tests, Chi-square and Fishers Exact tests, and multivariable logistic regression to assess outcomes after adjusting for potential confounders. Results Nine of 12 evaluation units (EUs) recorded <1% microfilaremia, meeting the WHO threshold for passing EMS, while three EUs failed with [&ge;]1% prevalence in at least one site. Antigen and MF prevalence were 4.47% and 0.34%, respectively (ratio 13:1). Both Antigen and MF prevalences were significantly associated with female sex (AOR= 0.564, 95% CI: 0.441-0.721 and AOR = 0.326, 95% CI: 0.129-0.826 respectively) and participation in the most recent MDA round (AOR = 0.477; 95% CI: 0.385-0.591 and AOR = 0.089; 95% CI: 0.017-0.464 respectively). MDA uptake was influenced by age (<40 years, AOR = 0.72; 95% CI: 0.653-0.793), sex (female, AOR = 1.438; 95% CI: 1.29-1.603), cross-border residence (AOR = 0.616; 95% CI: 0.558-0.681), and occupation (agriculture and housewife, AOR = 1.144; 95% CI: 1.008-1.298). MF prevalence was also associated with younger age (<40 years, AOR = 0.211; 95% CI: 0.071-0.626). Conclusion The survey indicates progress toward LF elimination, with nine of twelve EUs achieving WHOs <1% microfilaremia threshold after two rounds of IDA-MDA. However, transmission persists in three sites, likely linked to poor MDA participation among specific subgroups--particularly males, younger adults, and cross-border populations. Strengthening MDA coverage and compliance across all demographic and occupational groups, with special focus on border areas, is essential to achieve LF elimination in Nepal.

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The evolving epidemiology of scrub typhus in Thailand (2003-2024): insights from latent process modelling of national surveillance data

Wongnak, P.; Chaisiri, K.; Perrone, C.; Chalvet-Monfray, K.; Areechokchai, D.; Pan-ngum, W.

2026-04-21 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351270 medRxiv
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BackgroundScrub typhus is a major yet neglected vector-borne disease in Thailand, where it has been nationally notifiable for over two decades. However, long-term changes in its epidemiology, including reporting rates, transmission intensity, disease severity, and seasonal patterns, have not been comprehensively characterised at the national level. MethodologyWe analysed 22 years of national surveillance data for scrub typhus in Thailand (2003-2024) using a latent process model that jointly fits reported cases with published nationwide seroprevalence data and antibody kinetics to estimate reporting rates and underlying transmission dynamics across all 77 provinces of Thailand. FindingsOver the 22-year study period, 143096 cases and 119 deaths were reported nationally. Estimated reporting proportion broadly mirrored transmission intensity, being higher in high-burden regions and lower elsewhere. A synchronous decline in detection was observed across all regions during the COVID-19 pandemic, followed by rapid rebound by 2024. After accounting for these reporting dynamics, the force of infection was highest in the northern provinces but also substantial in the northeast and south, with upward trends in some provinces. Susceptibility among older adults aged 65 and above increased progressively over the study period, reversing the pattern observed two decades earlier. Case-fatality in the 25-35-year reference group was low and declined from 0.14% (95% Credible Interval [CrI]: 0.06-0.29%) to 0.06% (95% CrI: 0.02-0.12%), but relative case-fatality remained consistently highest among adults above 65 across all periods. Three geographically distinct seasonal patterns were identified, all stable over time. ConclusionOver two decades, scrub typhus transmission in Thailand has been shown to extend well beyond its traditionally recognised northern focus, with substantial burden in previously underappreciated regions, while the demographic profile of those most affected has shifted progressively toward older adults. These findings support the need for regionally tailored surveillance, age-targeted clinical preparedness, and sustained investment in understanding the ecological drivers of transmission. Key messagesScrub typhus is a common but neglected cause of fever in Thailand, where it has been reported through the national surveillance system for over two decades. However, trends in reported cases can be misleading because they reflect not only true changes in transmission but also variation in diagnosis and reporting over time and across regions. We developed a model that combines surveillance data with seroprevalence surveys and antibody kinetics to separate true changes in transmission from variation in reporting, allowing us to estimate how transmission intensity, disease severity, and seasonal patterns have evolved from 2003 to 2024 across all 77 provinces. We found that substantial transmission occurs not only in the well-studied northern provinces but also in the northeast and south, where the disease has received less attention. Susceptibility has progressively shifted toward older adults, who also face the highest case-fatality, while three distinct seasonal patterns vary by region but have remained stable over time. These findings suggest that scrub typhus control in Thailand requires a shift from a predominantly northern focus toward regionally tailored strategies that account for local transmission timing, an ageing at-risk population, and the ecological drivers that sustain transmission in each setting.

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Oropouche, Dengue, and Chikungunya differential diagnosis. Development and validation of predictive models with surveillance data from Espirito Santo-Brazil.

Nickel Valerio, E. C.; Coli Seidel, G. M.; Da Silva Nunes, R.; Alvarenga Americano do Brasil, P. E.

2026-04-25 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.17.26350875 medRxiv
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There is an ongoing Oropouche Fever (OF) outbreak in Brazil since 2024. There are dengue and chikungunya prediction models available, but none to help discriminate dengue, chikungunya, and OF. Objective: This study aims to develop and validate clinical prediction models for dengue, chikungunya, OF. Methods: This study uses surveillance data from Espirito Santo state / Brazil, from 2023-2025. Epidemiological investigations and biological samples were used to conclude cases as either (a) clinical-epidemiologically confirmed, (b) laboratory confirmed, or (c) discarded. The predictors were all data related to signs, symptoms, and comorbidities available in the notification forms. The analysis was performed using random forest regression models, one for each outcome, in development and validation datasets. Results: A total of 465,280 observations were analyzed, 261,691 dengue cases (56.6%), 18,676 chikungunya cases (4.0%), 12,174 OF cases (2.6%), and 179,115 discarded cases (38.6%). All three models had good discrimination and moderate to good calibration after scaling prediction. The models retained from 26 to 16 predictors each. Leukopenia and vomiting were the most discriminatory predictors for dengue, arthritis, arthralgia, and rash were the most discriminatory for chikungunya, and epidemiological features were the most relevant for OF. The dengue, chikungunya, and OF models had ROC AUC of 0.726, 0.851, and 0.896 in the validation set, respectively. Conclusion: This research identified predictors most discriminative between dengue, chikungunya, and OF. We developed and validated predictive models, one for each condition, with moderate to very good performance available at https://pedrobrasil.shinyapps.io/INDWELL/. One may use them in diagnostic work-up and arbovirus surveillance.

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Filling surveillance gaps: Bayesian INLA models for predicting tick distributions in data-sparse regions

Hussain, A.; Hussain, S.; Bravo de Guenni, L.; Smith, R. L.

2026-04-21 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.16.719086 medRxiv
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Ticks impose major health and economic losses on the livestock sector of Pakistan, yet uncertainty-aware maps of tick burden remain scarce. We focused on the two most common disease transmitting tick species, Rhipicephalus microplus and Hyalomma anatolicum, to produce exposure-adjusted district-level abundance estimates and predictions for unsampled areas in Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK). We compiled heterogeneous tick count records and standardized them per 100,000 animals. District-level climate and physiographic covariates were summarized via principal components analysis. Bayesian spatial models were fit in R-INLA using Gaussian likelihoods and BYM2 over a hybrid adjacency matrix. Competing non-spatial and spatial models were compared, and the best model was used to generate posterior predictions and 95% credible intervals for unsampled districts. Spatial models outperformed non-spatial alternatives and calibrated well. Model robustness was confirmed through eight independent 80/20 train-test splits, showing strong generalization with consistent predictions across seeds. For unsampled areas, R. microplus exhibited a pronounced north-south gradient with high predicted means but wide intervals in the northern highlands, indicating information gaps. H. anatolicum predictions were highest and most precise in southern Punjab. Sensitivity analysis highlighted a dominant spatial component, with modest contributions from PC1 and PC2. The Bayesian spatial models using the Besag-York-Mollie framework delivered comparable, exposure-adjusted tick abundance maps while quantifying uncertainty to guide surveillance. Results suggest a need for immediate control in confirmed hotspots and recommend targeted field sampling in high-uncertainty districts. The workflow generalizes to other vectors, pathogens, and regions for evidence-based livestock health planning.

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Cost analysis of a nationwide typhoid conjugate vaccine campaign in Burkina Faso

Koulidiati, J.-L.; Zoma, R. L.; Nebie, E. I.; Soumaila, Y.; Neya, C. O.; Kiendrebeogo, J. A.; Debellut, F.

2026-04-25 health economics 10.64898/2026.04.17.26350856 medRxiv
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Background: In Burkina Faso, typhoid fever remains a major public health concern, with a high incidence among children younger than 15 years of age. To address this burden, the country introduced typhoid conjugate vaccine in January 2025 through a national vaccination campaign reaching children aged 9 months to 14 years. This study aimed to estimate the cost of typhoid conjugate vaccine delivery during the national campaign and to identify the main cost drivers across different administrative levels. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional, retrospective costing study using a microcosting approach from the government perspective. We collected data from fifty health facilities, eight health districts, five health regions, and the national level. Financial and economic costs were estimated for each level, excluding vaccine and syringe costs. All costs were converted to 2024 USD using the official exchange rate. Findings: Vaccinators administered a total of 10.5 million typhoid conjugate vaccine doses. The average financial cost per dose was $0.47 (95% CI: $0.39-$0.51), and the economic cost was $2.16 (95% CI: $1.71-$2.56). Human resources and per diem payments were the main contributors to costs. Costs varied by geography, delivery strategy, and security context, with higher costs observed in rural and conflict-affected areas. The mobile-temporary posts strategy had the highest economic cost per dose ($2.02; 95% CI: $1.64-$2.40), while the fixed strategy had the highest financial cost per dose ($0.41; 95% CI: ($0.32-$0.49). Conclusion: The financial cost per dose remained within Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance's operational support range. The observed cost variations highlight the need for targeted funding and enhanced logistical support to ensure equitable access, particularly in rural and insecure areas. This study provides evidence to inform future vaccination campaigns and supports decision-making for typhoid conjugate vaccine introduction in other countries in the region.

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Epidemiological Patterns and Characteristics of Animal Bite Cases in Sylhet, Bangladesh: A Retrospective Study of 6,565 Cases

Hossain, H.; Mohiuddin, A. S. M.; Islam, S.; Insan, M.; Ahmed, S.; Brishty, K. A.; Parvej, M.; Yadav, S. K.; Ahmed, S.; Das, S. R.; Rahman, M. M.; Rahman, M. M.; Paul, B.

2026-04-22 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351359 medRxiv
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BackgroundAnimal bites represent a significant public health concern due to the risk of injuries and transmission of zoonotic diseases such as Rabies, particularly in low and lower- middle-income countries (LMICs). Understanding the epidemiological characteristics of animal bite incidents is essential for improving the prevention and control strategies. This study aimed to characterize the epidemiological patterns and characteristics of animal bite cases in Sylhet, Bangladesh. Methodology/Principal findingsWe conducted a retrospective analysis of 6,565 animal bite cases reported between January 1 and December 31, 2024, in Sylhet, Bangladesh. Data on demographic characteristics, type of biting animal, site of bite, and exposure category were collected and analyzed to determine associations using correlation analyses and chi-square tests. Among the victims, 3,917 (60%) were male and 2,648 (40%) were female and young adults aged 20-39 years comprised the largest group (39% of cases). The majority of cases (88.1%) originated from urban areas within Sylhet City Corporation. Cats were the leading cause of bites (56.6%), followed by dogs (35.0%) and monkeys (7.5%), suggesting a shift from the traditional dog-dominated pattern. The most frequently affected anatomical sites were the legs (50.3%) and hands (40.9%). Most exposures were classified as World Health Organization (WHO) Category II (98.2%). Bite incidents showed moderate seasonal variation, with peaks in spring and early autumn. A significant declining temporal trend was observed for monkey bites (R = -0.59, p = 0.044), whereas cat and dog bite patterns remained relatively stable throughout the year. Significant associations were identified between bite site and age group, as well as between biting animal and demographic characteristics (p < 0.05). Conclusion/SignificanceThese findings highlight the epidemiological patterns of animal bites in Sylhet and emphasize the need for strengthened public awareness, surveillance, and preventive strategies to reduce animal bite incidents and associated zoonotic disease risks. SynnopsisO_LIA large-scale retrospective analysis of 6,565 animal bite cases revealed a cat-dominant bite pattern (56.6%), contrasting with the traditional dog-dominant paradigm in South Asia. C_LIO_LIYoung adults (20-39 years) and males (60%) were disproportionately affected, reflecting occupational and behavioral exposure risks. C_LIO_LIUrban residents (88.1%) accounted for the majority of cases, highlighting the growing public health burden of animal bites in rapidly urbanizing settings. C_LIO_LIThe most frequently affected anatomical sites were the legs (50.3%) and hands (40.9%). Bite incidents showed moderate seasonal variation, with peaks in spring and early autumn. C_LIO_LICategory II exposures (98.2%) predominated, indicating a high burden of seemingly minor injuries that may be underestimated in rabies prevention strategies. C_LI

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Post-Diarrheal Nutritional Trajectories Among Malnourished Children: A Clustering and Multinomial Modelling Approach

Ogwel, B.; Awuor, A. O.; Onyando, B. O.; Ochieng, R.; Hossain, M. J.; Conteh, B.; Mujahid, W.; Shaheen, F.; Munthali, V.; Malemia, T.; Tapia, M.; Keita, A. M.; Nasrin, D.; Kosek, M. N.; Qadri, F.; Kotloff, K. L.; Pavlinac, P. B.; McQuade, E. T. R.

2026-04-21 nutrition 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351264 medRxiv
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Although the co-occurrence of diarrhea and malnutrition is well documented, research has largely focused on the acute management of diarrheal illness. Despite its importance, longitudinal evidence characterizing post-diarrheal recovery trajectories is sparse. We sought to characterize post-diarrheal nutritional recovery trajectories among children aged 6-35 months who were malnourished at enrollment using data from the Enterics for Global Health (EFGH) Shigella Surveillance study (2022-2024). EFGH enrolled children aged 6-35 months presenting with medically-attended diarrhea and followed them at 4 weeks and 3 months post-enrollment. This analysis included children with baseline wasting, stunting, or underweight (z-score < -2) and complete anthropometric follow-up. Latent class mixed-effects models were used to identify distinct post-diarrheal growth trajectories based on changes in anthropometric z-scores over time. Multinomial modified Poisson regression models examined associations between baseline factors and trajectory membership. Among 9,480 enrolled children, 16.5% (n=1,561) were wasted, 22.7% (n=2,155) stunted, and 21.0% (n=1,994) underweight at baseline. Wasting showed greater recovery potential (80.8%) compared with stunting (38.5%) and underweight (40.3%). Recovery was shaped by factors across multiple levels. Clinical severity markers ( prolonged diarrhea, dehydration, and hypoxemia) increased the risk of nutritional failure. Age also influenced outcomes: infants were more likely to worsen, whereas older toddlers more often experienced stagnation. Interventions including exclusive breastfeeding, oral rehydration therapy, appropriate antibiotics, and zinc supplementation, improved outcomes, while unimproved sanitation undermined recovery. These findings highlight the need for integrated strategies combining infection control, nutritional rehabilitation, and water, sanitation, and hygiene interventions tailored to the childrens developmental stage. Key MessagesO_LIPost-diarrheal nutritional recovery is highly heterogeneous, with wasting showing the greatest potential for improvement, while stunting and underweight often result in persistent growth stagnation. C_LIO_LIBaseline anthropometric deficits alone are insufficient to predict recovery, highlighting the need for dynamic monitoring and individualized management. C_LIO_LIInfants are particularly vulnerable to acute nutritional deterioration, while older toddlers frequently experience growth stagnation. C_LIO_LIModifiable protective factors including exclusive breastfeeding, ORS, zinc, and appropriate antibiotics, improved outcomes, whereas poor sanitation undermined recovery. C_LIO_LIIntegrated strategies, tailored to a childs developmental stage, combining clinical care, nutrition, and environmental interventions are critical to support sustained child growth and development. C_LI

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Inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS) regulates skin eschar lesions, bacterial persistence, and inflammatory resolution in mouse models of scrub typhus

Zhou, Y.; Gao, L.; Cho, R. H.; Ly, J.; Wang, H.; Narra, H.; Tsai, K.-H.; Soong, L.; Liang, Y.

2026-04-20 immunology 10.64898/2026.04.15.718641 medRxiv
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Orientia tsutsugamushi (Ot) is an obligately intracellular bacterium that causes scrub typhus, a potentially severe infectious disease characterized by systemic inflammation and multiorgan dysfunction. We recently reported a protective role for IFN-{gamma} signaling in host defense against Ot infection; however, the underlying mechanisms remain obscure. Inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS, encoded by Nos2) is a key antimicrobial effector induced downstream of IFN-{gamma} signaling. Here, we used transgenic mouse models to further investigate the biological functions of iNOS. We first revealed the requirement of iNOS for the restriction of Ot growth in cultured bone marrow-derived macrophages. Using an intradermal mouse model, we found that while tissues of Nos2-/- and wild-type mice exhibited comparable bacterial burdens during acute infection phases, Nos2-/- mice developed eschar-like lesions similar to those observed in Ifngr1-/- mice, indicating a critical role for the IFN-{gamma}/iNOS axis in regulating skin pathology in scrub typhus. Notably, Nos2-/- mice displayed impaired bacterial clearance during the recovery phase (day 42), with persistent bacterial burdens in multiple organs accompanied by sustained immune activation and elevated inflammatory responses. Histopathological and biochemical analyses further revealed increased tissue damage and dysregulated physiological homeostasis in Nos2-/- mice during recovery. Mechanistically, iNOS deficiency resulted in heightened myeloid cell activation and prolonged expression of proinflammatory mediators, suggesting a dual contribution of iNOS in both antimicrobial defense and inflammation resolution. Collectively, these findings provide new insight into IFN-{gamma}-mediated defense mechanisms and imply the distinct roles of iNOS during different stages of scrub typhus. Author summaryScrub typhus is a potentially severe infectious disease caused by the bacterium Orientia tsutsugamushi (Ot), which is transmitted to humans through the bite of infected mites. Despite its global impact and expanding geographic distribution, the immune mechanisms that protect against this infection remain incompletely understood. In this study, we examined the role of inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS), an immune effector molecule that helps the host control infection. Using mouse models, we found that iNOS plays dual and stage-specific roles during Ot infection. Mice lacking iNOS developed dysregulated immune homeostasis during acute infection and exhibited skin lesions resembling the eschars observed in some patients with scrub typhus. In addition, these mice showed delayed bacterial clearance, prolonged inflammation, and increased tissue damage during the recovery phase. Our findings indicate that iNOS contributes not only to host antimicrobial defense but also to the control of excessive inflammation following infection. These results provide new insight into host defense mechanisms in scrub typhus and may help inform future therapeutic or preventive strategies.

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Bayesian spatial prediction of three medically important tick species in Illinois

Hussain, A.; Bravo de Guenni, L.; Mateus-Pinilla, N. E.; Smith, R. L.

2026-04-21 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.16.719082 medRxiv
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Tick-borne diseases are now reported from nearly every county in Illinois, and three vector tick species (Amblyomma americanum, Dermacentor variabilis, and Ixodes scapularis) are of particular concern because these are responsible for most of the tick-borne disease transmission in the state. However, active surveillance is patchy, many counties have little or no sampling, and there is no statewide, quantitative map of relative abundance that can be used to anticipate risk in unsampled areas. To address these gaps, we developed Bayesian hierarchical spatial models to estimate the county-level abundance of these three vector tick species in Illinois. Using active surveillance data from 2019-2022, we modeled county-level abundance as a function of climate, land cover, forest fragmentation, and deer habitat suitability. Spatial dependence was captured using a Besag-York-Mollie 2 (BYM2) prior implemented in INLA, along with spatial 5-fold cross-validation to assess predictive performance. A. americanum showed the highest predicted abundance in southern and central Illinois, D. variabilis was widespread but diffuse, and I. scapularis was concentrated in northern and selected central counties. Together, these models provide the first spatial, statewide, uncertainty-aware assessment of tick abundance in Illinois, highlighting priority counties where surveillance lags disease risk.

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Development of a Monoclonal Antibody and a Sandwich-ELISA for the Detection of Mucormycosis in Humans

Thornton, C. R.; Davies, G. E.

2026-04-23 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351301 medRxiv
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Background: Mucormycosis is a rapidly progressive and often fatal invasive fungal infection caused by moulds in the order, Mucorales. Early diagnosis is essential for effective clinical management; however, conventional diagnostic approaches such as culture and histopathology are slow, insensitive, and require specialist mycological expertise. Although molecular methods are available for disease detection, they are not widely accessible. At present, no enzyme immunoassay (EIA) exists for the detection of mucormycosis. Methods: A murine IgG1 monoclonal antibody (mAb), FH12, was generated against extracellular polysaccharides (EPSs) produced by Mucorales pathogens during active growth. The antibody was characterised for specificity, epitope stability, and antigen localisation using ELISA, immunoblotting, and immunofluorescence techniques. The mAb was incorporated into a Sandwich-ELISA and evaluated using culture filtrates, purified EPSs spiked into human serum, and tissue homogenates from a patient with cutaneous mucormycosis caused by Lichtheimia ramosa. Results: mAb FH12 demonstrated pan-Mucorales specificity and no cross-reactivity with other clinically relevant yeasts and moulds. The epitope recognised by FH12 is periodate-insensitive and moderately heat-stable. The Sandwich-ELISA detected EPS antigens in human serum with limits of detection ranging from pg/mL to low ng/mL levels, and successfully identified the EPS biomarker in patient tissue homogenates. Conclusion: The FH12-based Sandwich-ELISA shows high sensitivity and specificity, and has the potential to be used as a laboratory-based adjunct diagnostic test for the detection of mucormycosis in humans.

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A phylogenetic approach reveals evolutionary aspects and novel genes of bradyzoite conversion in Toxoplasma gondii

C A, A.; Upadhayay, R.; Patankar, S. A.

2026-04-21 bioinformatics 10.64898/2026.04.20.719551 medRxiv
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Toxoplasma gondii is a widespread human pathogen that has multiple, clinically relevant stages in its complex life cycle, including fast-replicating tachyzoites and latent bradyzoites. Bradyzoite differentiation is triggered by stress responses that lead to changes in transcription, translation, and metabolism. Two aspects of this process are addressed in this report: first, whether proteins that play roles in bradyzoite differentiation are specific to T. gondii and other bradyzoite-forming parasites of the Sarcocystidae family, and second, whether new bradyzoite differentiation proteins can be identified in T. gondii. To answer these questions, a phylogenetic approach was used, comparing proteomes of select members of the Sarcocystidae family that form morphologically different bradyzoite cysts and members of the Eimeriidae family that do not form cysts. This approach resulted in 8 distinct clusters of T. gondii proteins that reflected different conservation patterns; for example, one cluster showed conservation among all organisms, while another showed conservation in bradyzoite cyst-forming organisms. Known T. gondii proteins involved in bradyzoite differentiation were found in all clusters, indicating that this process uses both highly conserved pathways as well as bradyzoite-specific pathways. Importantly, the cluster containing proteins that are conserved in bradyzoite-forming organisms contained several known regulators of bradyzoites, and will be a source for identifying novel T. gondii proteins that are involved in bradyzoite differentiation.

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Genetic diversity and antimicrobial susceptibility pattern of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli and Campylobacter spp. isolated from healthy goats in southern Thailand

Wiriyaprom, R.; Ngasaman, R.; Kaewnoi, D.; Prachantasena, S.

2026-04-20 microbiology 10.64898/2026.04.18.719346 medRxiv
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Foodborne illness is a significant public health concern worldwide. Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli and Campylobacter species are recognized as important zoonotic bacterial pathogens contributing to human infections through the food chain, particularly via foods of animal origin. Although goat meat is in high demand in the southern region of Thailand, studies on foodborne pathogens in this livestock species remain limited. The current study aimed to (i) determine the antimicrobial susceptibility of Campylobacter spp. and STEC isolated from goats, and (ii) analyze the genetic relationships among Campylobacter spp. And E. coli O157 isolates obtained from different sources. Campylobacter jejuni and C. coli isolates were characterized based on sequences of seven housekeeping genes using the Achtman multilocus sequence typing scheme. For E. coli O157:H7, core genome multilocus sequence typing analysis was performed using whole-genome sequencing data. Genetic diversity was observed among C. jejuni, whereas a clonal population structure was detected in C. coli and E. coli O157:H7. Overlapping genetic characteristics were observed between C. jejuni isolates from goats and those previously reported in livestock and humans in Thailand. Among Campylobacter species, resistance to fluoroquinolones, including ciprofloxacin and nalidixic acid, was observed, whereas resistance to fosfomycin was most frequently detected in Shiga toxin-producing E. coli. Tetracycline-resistant isolates were identified in both Campylobacter species and Shiga toxin-producing E. coli at moderate levels. A multidrug-resistant pattern was observed only in C. coli, whereas no multidrug-resistant C. jejuni or Shiga toxin-producing E. coli isolates were detected. These findings indicate that healthy goats may serve as potential reservoirs of zoonotic pathogens and antimicrobial resistance in southern Thailand, where goat meat is frequently consumed.

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Prevalence and Risk Factors of Respiratory Tract Infections Following Medically-Attended-Diarrhea in Children Aged 6-35 Months: Enterics for Global Health (EFGH)-Shigella Surveillance Study, 2022-2024.

Conteh, B.; Galagan, S. R.; Badji, H.; Secka, O.; Bar, B. T.; Rao, S. I.; Atlas, H.; Omore, R.; Ochieng, J. B.; Tapia, M.; Cornick, J.; Cunliffe, N.; Zegarra Paredes, L. F.; Colston, J.; Islam, M. T.; Mosharraf, M. P.; Qamar, F. N.; Fatima, I.; Pavlinac, P. B.; Hossain, M. J.

2026-04-20 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351078 medRxiv
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Globally, respiratory tract infections (RTI) are the main cause of morbidity, and in Low-middle-income countries (LMICs) RTI including pneumonia are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in children <5 years. Diarrheal illness increases RTI risk in young children through micronutrient depletion, and immune stress, yet data on post-diarrhea RTI burden in LMICs are limited. We determined the prevalence and risk factors of RTI within three months following medically-attended diarrhea (MAD) in children aged 6-35 months enrolled in seven EFGH country sites in Asia, Africa and South America. The EFGH study prospectively enrolled children aged 6-35 months with MAD in selected health facilities during a 24-month period from 2022 to 2024 and followed them for three months. RTI was defined as cough or difficulty breathing and the presence of one of the following symptoms at any scheduled or unscheduled visit during follow-up: stridor; fast-breathing; oxygen saturation <90%; or chest indrawing. The period prevalence and 95% confidence intervals of RTI were calculated, and correlates of RTI were assessed using modified-Poisson regression. From June 2022 to August 2024, 9,476 children aged 6-35 months presenting with MAD in the EFGH study sites were screened: 9,116 (96.2%) included in the current study. Nearly half were female (46.7%), and median age was 15 months. Overall, 48.5% received all age-appropriate vaccines, and 87.6% received the pneumococcal vaccine, with significant variation across countries. Nearly one-quarter of children were stunted, 17.2% wasted, and 21.9% underweight. RTI occurred in 3.8% of children during the three-month follow-up, mostly within the first month. Higher prevalence of RTI occurred among children aged 12-23 months (8.7%), those undernourished (16.1%), unvaccinated (4.0%) or living in poor sanitation settings (4.1%). While children who received all age-appropriate or pneumococcal vaccinations had a lower crude prevalence of RTI, these associations were not statistically significant after adjusting for age, sex and study site. RTI was infrequently observed in the three months following MAD presentation, with significant variability by site and with the highest prevalence in Malawi. RTI risk was highest in 12-23-month-olds and among children with undernutrition, and those living in poor sanitation conditions.

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Rat hepatitis E virus and novel paramyxoviruses in synanthropic rodents and shrews in Kenya

Ochola, G.; Pulkkinen, E.; Ogola, J. G.; Makela, H.; Masika, M.; Vauhkonen, H.; Smura, T.; Jaaskelainen, A. J.; Anzala, O.; Vapalahti, O.; Mweu, A. W.; Forbes, K. M.; Lindahl, J. F.; Laakkonen, J.; Uusitalo, J.; Altan, E.; Korhonen, E. M.; Sironen, T.

2026-04-21 microbiology 10.64898/2026.04.21.719784 medRxiv
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The majority of emerging infectious diseases are zoonotic, having their origin in wildlife before spilling over into the human population. While small mammals are recognized as critical reservoirs for these viruses, their viral diversity remains largely uncharacterized across many African countries. We conducted molecular surveillance of synanthropic rodents and shrews in the Kibera informal settlement in Nairobi and the rural Taita Hills region of Kenya to detect and characterize potential zoonotic viruses. Tissue samples from 228 rodents and shrews were screened for six viral families using PCR assays. Rat hepatitis E virus (HEV) (Rocahepevirus ratti), a rodent-associated virus with potential for human spillover, was identified in Mus musculus and Rattus norvegicus from Kibera. NGS was conducted for the HEV positive samples, and we obtained two near-complete HEV genomes from Rattus norvegicus, which clustered within rodent-associated HEV genotypes in the phylogenetic analysis. The two sequences from the Rattus norvegicus cluster together, indicating a close genetic relationship. Paramyxoviruses belonging to the genera Jeilongvirus and Parahenipavirus were detected both from Taita and Kibera in nine different samples from Rattus norvegicus, Mus minutoides, Crocidura sp and Acomys ignitus. One paramyxovirus positive sample (Acomys ignitus) from Taita was selected for further sequencing with NGS, and a complete genome of a new jeilongvirus was assembled. Phylogenetic analysis of the detected viruses confirmed the close relation to previously known rodent-borne jeilongviruses but also revealed potentially novel jeilong- and parahenipavirus species. Our findings highlight the circulation of potentially zoonotic viruses in both urban and rural small mammals in Kenya. It emphasizes the necessity of continued genomic surveillance of zoonotic viruses to mitigate risks of their spillover into human populations. HighlightsO_LISurveillance reveals diverse rodent-borne viruses circulating in Kenya. C_LIO_LIRat-HEV was detected in Rattus norvegicus and Mus musculus from an urban low-income area. C_LIO_LIParamyxoviruses were detected across multiple rodent and shrew species, including novel Acomys ignitus jeilongvirus. C_LI Graphical abstract O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=139 SRC="FIGDIR/small/719784v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (66K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@194e81eorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@11342cdorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@186ad97org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@eeb516_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

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A surrogate marker of protection confirms the efficacy of an AddaS03-adjuvanted West Nile virus subunit vaccine

Inoue, A.; Saito, S.; Maeda, K.; Itakura, Y.; Kobayashi, S.; Sasaki, M.; Gonzalez, G.; Hall, W. W.; Maenaka, K.; Orba, Y.; Sawa, H.; Tabata, K.

2026-04-21 microbiology 10.64898/2026.04.20.719748 medRxiv
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West Nile virus (WNV) is the causative agent of fatal West Nile encephalitis. To date, no human vaccine against WNV has been approved. Adjuvants are important for developing effective and affordable vaccines that enhance the immunogenicity and decrease the required antigen doses. In this study, we assessed the efficacy of AddaS03, a synthetic adjuvant analogous to AS03, in a WNV subunit vaccine composed of soluble recombinant envelope protein (sEnv). Using a passive immunization mouse model, we defined the neutralizing antibody titer threshold required for protection against lethal WNV infections and applied this threshold as a surrogate marker to evaluate adjuvant efficacy. AddaS03-adjuvanted formulations elicited markedly higher neutralizing antibody titers compared to Alhydrogel adjuvant 2% (Alhydrogel), even at suboptimal antigen doses, and consistently exceeded the defined protective threshold titer. Moreover, in a sequential challenge mouse model, AddaS03-adjuvanted vaccines completely protected mice from symptomatic WNV infections, whereas Alhydrogel-adjuvanted vaccines failed to confer full protection. Collectively, these findings demonstrate that AddaS03 is a promising adjuvant for WNV subunit vaccine development and highlights the utility of a passive immunization model for defining protective antibody thresholds as a surrogate marker for vaccine evaluation.

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Physical Activity Levels and Associated Factors among Upper Primary School Children in Lusaka, Zambia: Implications for Health Interventions.

Himalowa, S.; Zulu, J.; Haakonde, T.; Lupenga, J.; Kunda, R.; Colgrove, Y.; Frantz, J.; Mweshi, M. M.; Banda, M.

2026-04-19 rehabilitation medicine and physical therapy 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351077 medRxiv
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Introduction: Physical inactivity and sedentary behaviour are significant risk factors for noncommunicable diseases. Engaging in regular physical activity (PA) during childhood is crucial for preventing long-term health burdens. This study examined PA levels and associated factors among upper primary school children in Lusaka, Zambia. Methodology: A cross-sectional survey was conducted from August to October 2022 among 638 children aged 9-18 years from six public and six private schools. Data were collected using the Physical Activity Questionnaire for Children (PAQ-C), Youth Risk Behaviour Survey (YRBS), Model of Youth Physical Activity Questionnaire (MYPA), and 3-Day Physical Activity Recall Questionnaire (3DPAR). Analyses included descriptive statistics, Chi-square, Fishers exact tests and multivariable binary logistic regression at a 0.05 significance level and 95% confidence interval. Results: Most participants (82%) were insufficiently active, with only 18% achieving sufficient PA. Reported barriers included lack of playgrounds or parks near home (p=0.012), neighbourhood safety concerns (p=0.041), and limited parental supervision (p=0.006). Watching television reduced the odds of PA by 69% (aOR=0.31; 95% CI: 0.13-0.75). Conversely, peer support increased activity by 15% (aOR=1.15, 95% CI: 0.67-1.97), while not being concerned about showering or fixing hair after PA increased activity by 94% (aOR=1.94; 95% CI: 1.21-3.11). Conclusion: The majority of school children in this study did not meet recommended PA levels. Barriers to activity included personal, parental, and environmental factors. Interventions should prioritise safe play spaces, increased parental and peer support, and reduced screen time to curb future non-communicable disease risks.

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Antimicrobial Resistance Profiling and Phenotypic Characterization of Archived Clinical Bacillus paranthracis Strains

Michel, P. A.; Maxson, T.; Chivukula, V.; Overholt, W.; Medina Cordoba, L. K.; Ayodele-Abiola, S.; McQuiston, J.; Beesley, C. A.; Bell, M.; Figueroa, V. C.; Bugrysheva, J.; Chandross-Cohen, T.; Weiner, Z.; Carroll, L. M.; Kovac, J.; Sue, D.

2026-04-19 microbiology 10.64898/2026.04.16.719033 medRxiv
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Bacillus paranthracis was formally defined as a species in 2017, after decades of carrying the name "emetic B. cereus" based on cereulide production and clustering within B. cereus sensu lato phylogenetic group III. Commonly associated with foodborne intoxication, reports rarely link B. paranthracis to non-foodborne clinical illness. As such, the new taxonomy and close resemblance of the name to the biothreat pathogen Bacillus anthracis cause confusion in diagnostic and public health settings. To address this issue, B. paranthracis clinical strains (n=20) from the CDC collection were tested with microbiological methods used for identification of B. anthracis and antimicrobial susceptibility testing. Some B. paranthracis phenotypes were similar to B. anthracis, however others were inconsistent across strains. Like B. anthracis: 3 strains tested capsule positive, 5 were non-hemolytic on blood agar, and 9 non-motile. All B. paranthracis strains were resistant to gamma phage lysis, which differentiated them from B. anthracis. Treatment regimens for B. paranthracis infections are not well established, as antimicrobial therapy is not indicated for emetic intoxication caused by B. paranthracis. Notably, six B. paranthracis strains had elevated minimal inhibitory concentrations to anthrax-recommended antibiotics: one for ciprofloxacin, three for doxycycline and tetracycline, and two for clindamycin. Rapid MinION sequencing was assessed for antimicrobial resistance detection prediction but had limited value when using PiMA v.1. These microbiological observations and susceptibility profiles of B. paranthracis expand our understanding of this pathogen, strengthening our ability to differentiate this bacterium from B. anthracis to improve diagnosis and patient outcomes. IMPORTANCEThis study describes in vitro characterization of 20 archived clinical strains of B. paranthracis, an opportunistic pathogen identified more frequently in recent reports. Our findings highlight phenotypic differences and similarities between B. paranthracis and B. anthracis using standard microbiological methods and drug susceptibility profiling. We also assess a rapid B. anthracis specific MinION long read genome sequencing workflow with B. paranthracis. This report highlights the overlapping morphological features shared by B. paranthracis and B. anthracis to improve future laboratory diagnosis and strengthen anthrax preparedness. This article will effectively reach an audience of public health professionals and microbiologists strengthening anthrax preparedness.

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Implementation of SMS and voice message reminders to reduce childhood immunization dropout rate in urban settings: A Pilot Study in Lome-Togo in 2026

Badarou, S.; Attah, K. M.; Gounon, K. H.; Dali, A. S.; Sire, X. R.; Dia, E. C.

2026-04-20 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.19.26350799 medRxiv
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ObjectiveThis study aimed to assess the effectiveness of SMS and voice message reminders in reducing the dropout rate in Lome-Togo, in 2026. MethodsWe conducted a cross-sectional study between October 2025 and March 2026 in the Grand Lome region. The intervention consisted of an integrated digital system used by health facilities to send automated SMS. Categorical variables were described in terms of frequency and proportion; Fishers exact test was used to compare proportions. Quantitative variables were described by their means accompanied by their standard deviation; the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used to compare means. The significance level for statistical tests was set at 5%. ResultsA total of 30 health facilities were included. Seventy percent (70.0%) of the health facilities used messages associated with calls. Ninety percent (90.0%) of participants found the reminders useful, and 60.0% reported an improvement in Expanded Program on Immunization services related to their use. Among participants who received a reminder, 51.0% kept their vaccination appointments. The Penta 1/3 dropout rate decreased from 3.2% before the intervention to 1.3% (p < 0.001). Among the 323 parents of children included, only 20.74% reported receiving a reminder by phone. Sixty-point-five percent (60.5%) preferred to receive both text messages and voice calls. ConclusionThis study demonstrates the operational feasibility of an SMS/call-based reminder system in reducing dropout rate for childhood vaccination in Togo.

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Episia: An Open-Source Python Library for Epidemiological Surveillance, Modeling, and Biostatistics in Resource-Limited Settings

Ouedraogo, F. A. S.

2026-04-20 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26350337 medRxiv
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Despite the evolution of epidemiological analysis and modeling tools, difficulties still remain, especially in developing countries, regarding the availability and use of these tools. Often expensive, requiring high technical expertise, demanding constant connectivity of several or sometimes even significant resources, these tools, although efficient, present a major gap with the operational realities of health districts. It is in this context that we introduce Episia, an open-source Python library designed and conceived to provide a framework to facilitate epidemiological analysis and modeling. It integrates a suite of compartmental epidemic models (SIR, SEIR, SEIRD) with a sensitivity analysis using the Monte Carlo method, a complete biostatistics suite validated against the OpenEpi reference standard, as well as a native DHIS2 client for automated data ingestion. Developed in Burkina Faso, it is optimized and aims not only to address these health challenges encountered in Africa but also remains a versatile tool for global health informatics.